Level 2 · Model estimates

How selection works

Part of product 03: four filters before an estimate is published. No guaranteed-result promises.

Why this exists

SelectEdge does not publish a stream of every short price. The model estimate sits on top of the calendar (product 03). Telegram shows the same feed; the diary on the site is your record.

Four selection steps

Steps inside the model estimate — not the product lineup 01–04.

Step 01

Market and odds line

We assess not only the last price, but line dynamics: where the market moved and what is already in the price.

Step 02

Mathematical outcome estimate

The model estimates result probability and edge versus the market from a wider factor set than a single-match manual read.

Step 03

History check

A pick is checked against similar spots: how that zone performed on return and stability.

Step 04

Publication parameters

Probability thresholds, market edge, sample size and Match Fit: conditions for a pick to enter the selection.